Compare the same question across venues

The Venues Compared page lines up questions that more than one venue asks and shows each venue's number for the same outcome. It ranks them by how many points apart the venues are.

#Open Venues Compared

Select Venues Compared in the row of Predictions pages. The overview has a Venues compared box with an Every pair link.

Open Venues Compared

#Read the page

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The page has two lists:

• Furthest apart lists the pairs by gap, widest first. The note says it lists gaps of two percentage points or more.
• Busiest pairs lists the pairs with the most money traded today on their two venues together.

Each row shows:

• The question, as a link to the market's page.
• The outcome, in gray at the left of the second line, such as the team, the candidate or "Hold".
• A chip for each venue with its chance, such as Kalshi 29%. Select a chip to open the market on that venue in a new tab.
• The gap, as 16 pts apart. A gap of five points or more is shown in red.

The topic chips, headed All topics, narrow the page to one topic.

#What gets compared

The page's own text says what is matched: the Fed, CPI and jobs, games matched by their teams and day (until they start), and the championships, awards, races and other questions that more than one venue asks, matched by their words and outcomes. Where more than two venues ask, the row shows every venue's number for the outcome, and the gap is the widest between any two. Only outcomes that the venues both quote are compared.

Numbers for a question about a figure, such as inflation, are in the figure's own unit. The gap there is in that unit, for example 0.05 points.